As the final game of the week gets set for all sorts of wagers and prop bets to consider, it’s remarkable to consider that the last time the Cardinals hosted a primetime game in their actual home stadium, their one and only home win of the year on Thursday Night Football vs. the New Orleans Saints.
Since that 42-34 victory back in Week 7, Arizona has lost four of five, and look to get off the schneid when they welcome the New England Patriots on Monday Night Football this evening.
Here’s a look at the latest odds ahead of tonight’s matchup:
Patriots vs. Cardinals Odds, Spread and Total
While the Cards have been officially eliminated from NFC West contention, they still remain somewhat alive in the Wild Card race, but must overcome their continued second half struggles under Kliff Kingsbury, especially at home. Kingsbury’s teams typically thrive as an underdog, as Arizona is 23-12-2 against the spread, but are just 12-18-0 ATS at State Farm Stadium.
Despite the Cardinals coming in as slight home dogs, there’s still several opportunities to potentially cash in on some winning prop bets.
Here are three of my favorites for the home team’s side for Monday Night Football.
Best NFL Prop Bets for Patriots vs. Cardinals
- Kyler Murray OVER 14.5 Longest Rush (-110)
- Kyler Murray Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+300)
- James Conner OVER 15.5 Receiving Yards (-130)
Kyler Murray OVER 14.5 Longest Rush
Stopping mobile quarterbacks has been an issue all season long for the Pats, ranking eighth-worst in the league in rushing yards to the QB position.
Despite ranking middle-of-the-pack in actual rushing attempts, quarterbacks are averaging just under 5.7 yards-per-carry against New England this year.
Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson cooked the Pats for 107 rushing yards back in Week 3, and Justin Fields of the Chicago Bears spanked them four weeks later for 82 yards on the ground in an embarrassing 33-14 loss at home.
Murray has the speed to break multiple big runs, but we just need one for this prop to hit.
Kyler Murray Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Getting Murray at these long of odds to score a touchdown seems like tremendous value available on the board, based on the type of matchup he has for this week in particular.
Granted, Murray has just three touchdowns on the ground to make it somewhat concerning, but he’s also averaged 58 yards the past two games, and comes off a rushing touchdown in their most recent loss.
With New England ranked as the top team in opponent rushing touchdowns per game, Murray presents himself as a unique threat to score from anywhere on the field, rather than just the red zone where things could become a challenge.
James Conner OVER 15.5 Receiving Yards
Since his return to the lineup, Conner hardly leaves the field, playing more than 90% of the snaps in two of his last three games. He’s also seen consistent targets in the passing game in all four of those games as well, hauling in 13 of 16 targets and going over 15.5 in all but one game.
If you’re curious as to the one he failed to get to 15.5, it was against the San Francisco 49ers, one of the top run-stuffing teams in the NFL.
With the pressure New England likely sends, Conner’s availability as a safety value receiver for Murray will be critical towards avoiding a bunch of third and long spots all night.
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Game and prop odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.